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FxPro浦汇:日本银行出台温和货币刺激措施震惊市场

2016/7/30 14:01:51 分类: 央行观察

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摘要:今天日本银行的行动让人吃惊,他们以八比一的投票结果宣布了一个温和的货币刺激措施,将利率稳定维持在 0.1%,也不会改变日本政府债券购买数量,即每年仍然购买八十万亿日元(7785 亿美元)。此外,日本银行可能将 ETF 购买数量从此前的 3.3 万亿日元增加到 6 万亿日元(567 亿…

by Simon Smith, Chief Economist

Today the Bank of Japan surprisingly announced a modest monetary stimulus in an 8-1 vote, keeping rates steady at minus 0.1% and the purchase amount of Japanese government bonds was also left unchanged at an annual rate of 80 trillion yen ($778.5 billion). Alternatively, the BoJ would enlarge the annual ETF purchases to 6 trillion yen ($56.7 billion), from 3.3 trillion yen previously. It also doubled the size of a 4-year lending program for local companies to $24 billion in order to underpin their overseas activities.

今天日本银行的行动让人吃惊,他们以八比一的投票结果宣布了一个温和的货币刺激措施,将利率稳定维持在 0.1%,也不会改变日本政府债券购买数量,即每年仍然购买八十万亿日元(7785 亿美元)。此外,日本银行可能将 ETF 购买数量从此前的 3.3 万亿日元增加到 6 万亿日元(567 亿美元)。日本银行还把为本定公司出台的四年期借贷项目翻倍到了 240 亿美元,为的是巩固这些公司在海外的活动。

The announcement was against market expectations of a bolder stimulus package and a further rate cut to minus 0.15%. According to surveys, about 78% of economists predicted that BoJ would implement large scale of stimulus package.

日本银行这一举动出乎市场的意料,因为大家预计日本会出台一个更广泛的刺激计划,并将利率减少到负的 0.15%。根据调查数据,有 78% 的经济学家预言过日本银行会出台一个庞大的刺激计划。

BoJ alleged that the bank was forced to take a cautious stance by keeping monetary policies steady due to the post-Brexit uncertainty and an increasing global slowdown, in the hope of stopping business confidence and consumer sentiment from deteriorating.

日本银行声称,他们维持货币政策稳定是被迫的谨慎行动,原因就是英国脱欧后种种的不确定性出现,而全球经济也在放缓;他们希望能阻止商业信心和消费者情绪的退化。

Prior to this meeting, BoJ had surprised markets twice this year by cutting rate to negative on 29th January and taking no actions on 28th April.

这次会议之前,实际上今年日本银行已经让市场吃惊了两次;第一次是一月二十九号将降息到负利率,第二次就是四月二十八号没有采取任何行动。

The yen was already volatile before the announcement. After the Bank of Japan made the statement, the Japanese yen surged against the dollar. Furthermore, the dollar weakens again since this morning. USDJPY dived to 102.699 from the intra-day high of 105.602, falling by 2.75%, the lowest level since 12th July. The price bounced off after touching the support level at 103.00. The current price is still oscillating in the downtrend channel. Upside resistance at 103.90 followed by 104.60 and 105.10.

在声明发布之前日元已经开始波动。日本银行发布声明后,日元针对美元暴涨。此外,今天上午美元再次出现疲软。美元日元从盘中的高点 105.602 俯冲到了 102.699,下降了 2.75%,这是自七月十二号以来的最低点。接触到支撑点 103.00 后价格开始反弹。目前价格仍然在下行趋势通道内震荡。上行阻力点位于 103.90,104.60 以及 105.10。

The Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda stated that the central bank will revise the 2% inflation target and the effectiveness of the monetary policy at the next meeting in September, implying that further fiscal stimulus might be taken in the future.

日本银行总裁黑田东彦陈述说,他们会在九月份的会议上修改 2% 的通胀目标以及货币政策要达成的效果,这意味着日本银行会在未来出台更多财政刺激措施。

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文章来源: 爱外汇
关键字: 黄金 贵金属 外汇
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